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What this means. A wallet put $13.3k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?excluded
$13.3k
SELL Yes @ 99.6¢ · 13,382 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideOther

What happened

Wallet Huludubu took Yes (sell) for $13.3k at an average 99.6¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $13.3k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.6¢
Implied odds
0.4%
Size
$13.3k
Placed
Aug 15, 05:09 EDT
Market close
Aug 15, 19:59 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Huludubu
Tx
0x26677eb6…
This wallet's graded record
2/9-17.5 pts
expected 3.6 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -0 pts
Yes price · entry 99.6¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.6¢ · $13.3k WHALE $13.3K @ 99.6¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $14.3k0% 6576575769d agoexcluded
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $25.8k
2.2× usual
0% browne69d agoexcluded
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $16.1k100% AgricultureSecretary69d agoexcluded
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.7¢ $13.6k0% png102470d agoexcluded
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.6¢ $34.9k0% Lior-Pa70d agoexcluded
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ $17.4k100% fourofakind70d agoexcluded