← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $16.1k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$16.1k
BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ · 16,182 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet AgricultureSecretary took Yes (buy) for $16.1k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $16.1k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.8¢
- Implied odds
- 99.8%
- Size
- $16.1k
- Placed
- Aug 15, 21:05 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 15, 19:59 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- AgricultureSecretary
- Tx
- 0x288de9fe…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+34.3 pts
expected 0.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +0 ptsYes price · entry 99.8¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $14.3k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $25.8k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.7¢ | $13.6k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.6¢ | $34.9k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.6¢ | $13.3k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $17.4k | excluded |