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+$3,392Yes · avg 21¢ → 24¢ · $32.6k−$23Yes · avg 13¢ → 10¢ · $116
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$276.5k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$30.8k
Last 30 days +$469 · $1.17M volume · 128 trades · since Apr 08, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$6,972
Open P&L · 2 positions
+$3,369
Closed-position win rate
0%
3 closed
Wallet age · markets
199d
50 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.5¢ | $36.8k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 94.4¢ | $34.9k | called |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.6¢ | $34.9k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 84¢ | $29.3k | called |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | LOW SELL Yes @ 97.3¢ | $29.3k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | LOW BUY Yes @ 81¢ | $24.3k | called |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.5¢ | $24.3k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 88¢ | $21.6k | called |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | LOW SELL No @ 94.3¢ | $21.6k | missed |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | LOW BUY No @ 85¢ | $19.5k | called |
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