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Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $44.2k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 56% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 17 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?excluded$44.2k
SELL Yes @ 44¢ · 100,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet ygggg1 took Yes (sell) for $44.2k at an average 44¢. At that price the market implied a 56% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $44.2k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 44¢
- Implied odds
- 55.8%
- As American odds
- −126 no vig
- Size
- $44.2k
- Placed
- Jun 25, 18:14 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 25, 19:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- ygggg1
- Tx
- 0xb20b3fcc…
This wallet's graded record
10/17+1.2 pts
expected 9.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +44 ptsYes price · entry 44¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 94.6¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $21.5k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | MED SELL Yes @ 24¢ | $56.9k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY Yes @ 74¢ | $27.0k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY No @ 67¢ | $67.8k 3.8× usual |
excluded |