Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | $8.12M 35 flags |
$557.4k 3 wallets |
none |
| Yes | $2.32M 44 flags |
$286.3k 5 wallets |
$131.5k 1 wallet |
| Not Yes | $265.1k 7 flags |
$69.6k 2 wallets |
$56.9k 1 wallet |
| Not No | $39.4k 3 flags |
none | none |
A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 94.6¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $21.5k | excluded |
| MED SELL Yes @ 24¢ | $56.9k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 74¢ | $27.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 67¢ | $67.8k 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 62¢ | $85.9k 3.2× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 38¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 60¢ | $173.1k 4.1× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 39¢ | $17.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 38¢ | $19.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 62¢ | $14.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 62¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 63¢ | $21.0k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 60¢ | $89.1k | excluded |
| HIGH BUY No @ 59¢ | $6.39M 3.9× usual |
excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 40¢ | $95.2k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 40¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 40¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 41¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 41¢ | $48.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 41¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 57¢ | $139.1k 3.7× usual |
excluded |
| HIGH BUY No @ 60¢ | $130.0k 5.2× usual |
excluded |
| MED SELL Yes @ 41¢ | $52.0k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 42¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 58¢ | $13.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 42¢ | $20.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 43¢ | $43.9k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 57¢ | $120.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 57¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 43¢ | $24.5k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 44¢ | $175.9k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 43¢ | $63.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 44¢ | $64.4k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 56¢ | $76.2k | excluded |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 44¢ | $164.5k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 44¢ | $186.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 55¢ | $14.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 55¢ | $16.0k | excluded |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 45¢ | $188.7k | excluded |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 45¢ | $188.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 44¢ | $23.3k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 56¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 44¢ | $187.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 44¢ | $44.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 44¢ | $22.5k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 55¢ | $50.8k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 44¢ | $56.1k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 56¢ | $25.3k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 44¢ | $17.9k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 52¢ | $55.8k 2.1× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 48¢ | $13.4k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 48¢ | $159.0k 3.6× usual |
missed |
| HIGH BUY No @ 52¢ | $36.4k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 48¢ | $16.7k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 50¢ | $12.1k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 51¢ | $50.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 49¢ | $22.9k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 51¢ | $10.2k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 51¢ | $44.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 49¢ | $11.4k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 49¢ | $48.3k 2.3× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY No @ 49¢ | $10.4k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 51¢ | $11.2k | missed |
| MED BUY No @ 49¢ | $184.8k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 51¢ | $28.0k | missed |
| MED BUY No @ 48¢ | $53.4k 2.5× usual |
called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 53¢ | $17.6k | called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $35.2k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $17.5k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $22.5k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $53.5k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $34.7k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $14.3k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $15.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 48¢ | $13.0k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 48¢ | $43.8k 2.1× usual |
called |
| MED BUY No @ 48¢ | $31.2k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $20.6k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $68.7k 3.5× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 49¢ | $10.8k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 49¢ | $11.8k | called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $48.5k 2.5× usual |
missed |
| MED BUY No @ 49¢ | $84.1k 4.0× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $15.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 49¢ | $17.1k | called |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 50¢ | $13.5k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 48¢ | $12.4k | missed |
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 89 whale trades on this market totalling $10.74M from 62 wallets. The largest was $6.39M (buy No at 59¢). Most whale money ($8.12M) went to No. 42 of 89 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, sparklingwater123 ($6.43M), has called 1 of 1 graded flags overall (+48.0 pts vs price).
Market data from Polymarket (fifwc-jpn-swe-2026-06-25-jpn).