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Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $11.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 62% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-3.4 pts over 28 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?excluded$11.9k
BUY No @ 62¢ · 19,297 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet sbsigner took No (buy) for $11.9k at an average 62¢. At that price the market implied a 62% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.9k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 62¢ means
62%chance the market gave
−162American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 62¢
- Implied odds
- 61.8%
- As American odds
- −162 no vig
- Size
- $11.9k
- Placed
- Jun 25, 19:12 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 25, 19:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- sbsigner
- Tx
- 0xf507221a…
This wallet's graded record
11/28-3.4 pts
expected 11.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +38 ptsNo price · entry 62¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 94.6¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $21.5k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | MED SELL Yes @ 24¢ | $56.9k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY Yes @ 74¢ | $27.0k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY No @ 67¢ | $67.8k 3.8× usual |
excluded |