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EbHaalnd

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.6 wins, so it did +13.2 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+13.2 pts
Called / graded
2/3
Expected from price
1.6
Flagged volume
$54.7k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±28.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$128.0k
Last 30 days +$0 · $5.29M volume · 3,861 trades · since Apr 29, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$306.3k
Open P&L · 26 positions
−$175.6k
Closed-position win rate
57%
387 closed
Wallet age · markets
179d
404 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports321.6+13.2 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ $19.7k60% 106d agocalled
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5LOW BUY Under @ 52¢ $18.3k52% 107d agocalled
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?LOW BUY Yes @ 48¢ $16.7k48% 121d agomissed

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x9a4cf0…