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What this means. A wallet put $10.2k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.2k
BUY Yes @ 51¢ · 20,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet zzaqq2 took Yes (buy) for $10.2k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.2k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 51¢
- Implied odds
- 51.1%
- As American odds
- −104 no vig
- Size
- $10.2k
- Placed
- Jun 25, 11:03 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 25, 19:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- zzaqq2
- Tx
- 0x9d6e09ca…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-60.5 pts
expected 1.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -51 ptsYes price · entry 51¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 94.6¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $21.5k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | MED SELL Yes @ 24¢ | $56.9k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY Yes @ 74¢ | $27.0k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY No @ 67¢ | $67.8k 3.8× usual |
excluded |