zzaqq2

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.2 wins, so it did -60.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?+$4,367No · avg 42¢ → 92¢ · $8,116 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?+$2,222Yes · avg 69¢ → 98.5¢ · $7,368 Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?+$364No · avg 72¢ → 79¢ · $4,371 Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?+$199No · avg 91.9¢ → 97.8¢ · $3,286 Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?+$472No · avg 80¢ → 95.5¢ · $2,883 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?+$655No · avg 74¢ → 96.3¢ · $2,849 Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?+$132No · avg 56¢ → 60¢ · $1,977 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House−$1,050No · avg 54¢ → 34¢ · $1,676 · 0 proven with, 2 against

Price-adjusted edge

-60.5 pts

Called / graded

0/2

Expected from price

1.2

Flagged volume

$40.7k

Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±33.9 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$143.8k

Last 30 days +$3,047 · $4.03M volume · 10,789 trades · since May 01, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L · recent 500 closed

+$527.6k

Open P&L · 500 positions

−$386.9k

Closed-position win rate

100%

500 closed

Wallet age · markets

176d

3847 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	2	0	1.2	-60.5 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	LOW BUY Yes @ 51¢	$10.2k	51%	120d ago	missed
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	LOW BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 70¢	$30.5k	70%	138d ago	missed

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?missed

BUY Yes @ 51¢$10.2k

LOW zzaqq2 · 120d ago

Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgersmissed

BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 70¢$30.5k

LOW zzaqq2 · 138d ago

Share this record

<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0xd3316cbf9583e6a7d71286b69d5ae07ef77e733c"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0xd3316cbf9583e6a7d71286b69d5ae07ef77e733c.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>

JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xd3316c…