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What this means. A wallet put $13.5k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 50% chance. It won. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.5k
SELL Yes @ 50¢ · 26,956 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet tony912 took Yes (sell) for $13.5k at an average 50¢. At that price the market implied a 50% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 50¢
- Implied odds
- 50.0%
- As American odds
- −100 no vig
- Size
- $13.5k
- Placed
- Jun 21, 22:47 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 25, 19:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- tony912
- Tx
- 0xdee031e0…
This wallet's graded record
9/12+20.5 pts
expected 6.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +50 ptsYes price · entry 50¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 94.6¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $21.5k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | MED SELL Yes @ 24¢ | $56.9k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY Yes @ 74¢ | $27.0k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY No @ 67¢ | $67.8k 3.8× usual |
excluded |