← Wallets
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 6 of 6. The prices it paid implied about 3.2 wins, so it did +46.8 pts better than the market expected. That's only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Without its single best bet: +45.4 pts. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+46.8 pts
Called / graded
6/6
Expected from price
3.2
Flagged volume
$92.7k
Sample size6 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±20.3 pts std. error.
Graded P&L at their stakes
+$81k6 graded bets in the order they resolved · 6 won. Each step is one bet: win pays (1−price)/price × stake, loss costs the stake.
Past graded bets, not a prediction. Information, not advice.
Without their best bet
Leave out the single bet that helped most (England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance at 46¢) and the edge is +45.4 pts. If that falls apart, one bet made the record.
Calibration: won vs price paid
40–60¢
100% vs 53% · n=6
Bar = how often they won. White tick = what the price implied.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$64.3k
Last 30 days −$5,882 · $1.52M volume · 95 trades · since Jan 14, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$385.6k
Open P&L · 32 positions
−$309.6k
Closed-position win rate
100%
49 closed
Wallet age · markets
283d
82 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 6 | 6 | 3.2 | +46.8 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-05? | LOW BUY No @ 55¢ | $17.6k | called |
 Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals | LOW BUY Washington Nationals @ 53¢ | $15.8k | called |
 Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays | LOW BUY Tampa Bay Rays @ 58¢ | $17.5k | called |
 Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | LOW BUY No @ 58¢ | $17.7k | called |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Argentina @ 46¢ | $13.7k | called |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY No @ 49¢ | $10.4k | called |
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0xfd672b99a7cc7835bf931f0cea09bf7f7680ef90"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0xfd672b99a7cc7835bf931f0cea09bf7f7680ef90.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xfd672b…