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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 2.0 wins, so it did -25.6 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-25.6 pts
Called / graded
1/4
Expected from price
2.0
Flagged volume
$170.2k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±24.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$17.9k
Last 30 days −$231 · $3.92M volume · 1,263 trades · since Jun 23, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$198.1k
Open P&L · 63 positions
−$245.9k
Closed-position win rate
29%
85 closed
Wallet age · markets
1219d
163 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 4 | 1 | 2.0 | -25.6 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | LOW BUY United States @ 53¢ | $14.0k | missed |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Mexico @ 49¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY Yes @ 48¢ | $37.3k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $17.5k | missed |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | LOW BUY Yes @ 42¢ | $13.5k | called |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | LOW SELL Yes @ 60¢ | $13.8k | missed |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | LOW BUY Yes @ 61¢ | $14.0k | called |
 Spurs vs. Knicks | LOW BUY Spurs @ 46¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | LOW SELL Knicks @ 54¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | LOW BUY Knicks @ 54¢ | $12.1k | called |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | LOW BUY Knicks @ 54¢ | $11.0k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x60cca5…