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What this means. A wallet put $37.3k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 48% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?excluded
$37.3k
BUY Yes @ 48¢ · 77,659 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)2.8× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet 0x60cc…ff9b took Yes (buy) for $37.3k at an average 48¢. At that price the market implied a 48% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $37.3k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 48¢ means
48%chance the market gave
+108American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
48¢
Implied odds
48.0%
As American odds
+108 no vig
Size
$37.3k
Placed
Jun 25, 21:33 EDT
Market close
Jun 25, 22:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0x60cc…ff9b
Tx
0xb6e72fe7…
This wallet's graded record
1/4-25.6 pts
expected 2.0 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -48 pts
Yes price · entry 48¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 48¢ · $37.3k WHALE $37.3K @ 48¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $32.6k0% DOKTORDOOFENSCHMIRZ120d agoexcluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $33.2k0% Million-Dollar-Rhino120d agoexcluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?HIGH BUY No @ 93¢ $163.7k
6.2× usual
93% swisstony PROVEN120d agoexcluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?MED BUY Yes @ 38¢ $52.5k
2.3× usual
38% ferrariChampions2026120d agoexcluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?MED SELL Yes @ 45¢ $141.5k
3.8× usual
55% ygggg1120d agoexcluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?MED BUY Yes @ 46¢ $46.7k46% neutralwave23 PROVEN120d agoexcluded