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What this means. A wallet put $163.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 93% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+10.0 pts over 62 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$163.7k
BUY No @ 93¢ · 176,064 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favorite3 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Proven wallet6.2× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet swisstony took No (buy) for $163.7k at an average 93¢. At that price the market implied a 93% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $163.7k+2
3 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 93¢ means
93%chance the market gave
−1329American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 93¢
- Implied odds
- 93.0%
- As American odds
- −1329 no vig
- Size
- $163.7k
- Placed
- Jun 25, 23:55 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 25, 22:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- swisstony
- Tx
- 0xebc97586…
This wallet's graded record
51/62+10.0 pts
expected 44.8 from price
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $32.6k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $33.2k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | MED BUY Yes @ 38¢ | $52.5k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | MED SELL Yes @ 45¢ | $141.5k 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | MED BUY Yes @ 46¢ | $46.7k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL Yes @ 45¢ | $23.5k | excluded |