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What this means. A wallet put $23.5k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 55% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$23.5k
SELL Yes @ 45¢ · 52,142 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet crypto-ericwu took Yes (sell) for $23.5k at an average 45¢. At that price the market implied a 55% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $23.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 45¢
- Implied odds
- 55.0%
- As American odds
- −122 no vig
- Size
- $23.5k
- Placed
- Jun 25, 23:32 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 25, 22:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- crypto-ericwu
- Tx
- 0x6012d6ba…
This wallet's graded record
1/3-36.0 pts
expected 2.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $32.6k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $33.2k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | HIGH BUY No @ 93¢ | $163.7k 6.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | MED BUY Yes @ 38¢ | $52.5k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | MED SELL Yes @ 45¢ | $141.5k 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY Yes @ 46¢ | $46.7k | excluded |