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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did -52.9 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-52.9 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.5
Flagged volume
$107.4k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$51.8k
Last 30 days +$0 · $2.51M volume · 31 trades · since Jun 13, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$16.4k
Open P&L · 3 positions
−$34.9k
Closed-position win rate
43%
7 closed
Wallet age · markets
133d
10 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | -52.9 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | MED BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $34.7k | missed |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED SELL Yes @ 4.8¢ | $25.4k | called |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY Yes @ 6.7¢ | $47.3k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x736c3a…