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Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $188.7k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 45% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?excluded$188.7k
BUY Yes @ 45¢ · 420,610 shares
Size ≥ $100kLate (<1h before start)Fresh walletSports
What happened
Wallet 0xea40…8826 took Yes (buy) for $188.7k at an average 45¢. At that price the market implied a 45% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $188.7k+2
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 45¢ means
45%chance the market gave
+123American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 45¢
- Implied odds
- 44.9%
- As American odds
- +123 no vig
- Size
- $188.7k
- Placed
- Jun 25, 18:18 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 25, 19:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0xea40…8826
- Tx
- 0xd91e9dc1…
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -45 ptsYes price · entry 45¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 94.6¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $21.5k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | MED SELL Yes @ 24¢ | $56.9k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY Yes @ 74¢ | $27.0k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY No @ 67¢ | $67.8k 3.8× usual |
excluded |