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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did +32.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+32.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$156.6k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±46.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$12.0k
Last 30 days −$36 · $618.3k volume · 217 trades · since Mar 23, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$32.7k
Open P&L · 7 positions
−$30.0k
Closed-position win rate
59%
39 closed
Wallet age · markets
215d
45 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | +32.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win on 2026-07-14? | LOW SELL Yes @ 36¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? | LOW BUY Yes @ 38¢ | $18.0k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 88¢ | $24.6k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY Yes @ 42¢ | $20.1k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $23.2k | called |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | LOW SELL Yes @ 84¢ | $23.6k | excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢ | $16.3k | excluded |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | LOW BUY Yes @ 61¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
 Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets | LOW BUY Trail Blazers @ 90.6¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xa2a350…