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0x89dd…f662

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did -39.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-39.0 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$1.73M
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±34.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$525.2k
Last 30 days +$0 · $29.61M volume · 16,595 trades · since May 31, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$6.78M
Open P&L · 74 positions
−$6.35M
Closed-position win rate
100%
50 closed
Wallet age · markets
146d
152 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports200.8-39.0 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?LOW BUY No @ 53¢ $20.8k53% 120d agoexcluded
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?MED BUY No @ 57¢ $120.1k57% 120d agoexcluded
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?MED BUY No @ 44¢ $35.0k44% 120d agoexcluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?MED BUY No @ 33¢ $96.7k33% 123d agoexcluded
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?MED BUY No @ 33¢ $66.0k33% 125d agoexcluded
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?HIGH BUY No @ 34¢ $272.0k
3.4× usual
34% 125d agoexcluded
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?MED BUY No @ 53¢ $164.9k
2.1× usual
53% 126d agoexcluded
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?MED BUY No @ 49¢ $196.0k
2.5× usual
49% 128d agoexcluded
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?LOW BUY Yes @ 75¢ $97.5k75% 128d agoexcluded
Will England win on 2026-06-17?MED BUY Yes @ 59¢ $295.0k
3.7× usual
59% 128d agoexcluded
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?MED BUY No @ 24¢ $93.2k24% 128d agoexcluded
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston AstrosMED BUY Detroit Tigers @ 41¢ $162.5k
2.0× usual
41% 129d agoexcluded
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?LOW BUY No @ 36¢ $20.5k36% 130d agoexcluded
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?MED BUY No @ 9¢ $27.0k9% 131d agoexcluded
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3LOW BUY FUT Esports @ 55¢ $12.5k55% 131d agoexcluded
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1LOW BUY Sharks @ 39¢ $18.7k39% 142d agomissed
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1LOW BUY Sharks @ 39¢ $16.0k39% 142d agomissed
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC PlayoffsLOW BUY GIANTX @ 52¢ $12.4k52% 146d agoexcluded

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