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What this means. A wallet put $17.9k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 56% chance. It won. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$17.9k
SELL Yes @ 44¢ · 40,400 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet alexubet took Yes (sell) for $17.9k at an average 44¢. At that price the market implied a 56% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $17.9k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 44¢
- Implied odds
- 55.7%
- As American odds
- −126 no vig
- Size
- $17.9k
- Placed
- Jun 25, 17:58 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 25, 19:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- alexubet
- Tx
- 0xb93f33eb…
This wallet's graded record
3/7-10.1 pts
expected 3.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +44 ptsYes price · entry 44¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 94.6¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $21.5k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | MED SELL Yes @ 24¢ | $56.9k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY Yes @ 74¢ | $27.0k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY No @ 67¢ | $67.8k 3.8× usual |
excluded |