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Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $13.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 58% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 19 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?excluded$13.6k
BUY No @ 58¢ · 23,423 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet one8tyfive took No (buy) for $13.6k at an average 58¢. At that price the market implied a 58% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 58¢ means
58%chance the market gave
−138American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 58¢
- Implied odds
- 58.0%
- As American odds
- −138 no vig
- Size
- $13.6k
- Placed
- Jun 25, 18:46 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 25, 19:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- one8tyfive
- Tx
- 0xce3d84da…
This wallet's graded record
14/19+12.4 pts
expected 11.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +42 ptsNo price · entry 58¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 94.6¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $21.5k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | MED SELL Yes @ 24¢ | $56.9k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY Yes @ 74¢ | $27.0k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY No @ 67¢ | $67.8k 3.8× usual |
excluded |