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What this means. A wallet put $48.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 52% chance. It lost. This wallet has a losing record: -18.2 pts vs the price over 26 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$48.5k
BUY Yes @ 52¢ · 92,552 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $10k3 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)2.5× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet suntori took Yes (buy) for $48.5k at an average 52¢. At that price the market implied a 52% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $48.5k+1
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 52¢ means
52%chance the market gave
−110American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 52¢
- Implied odds
- 52.5%
- As American odds
- −110 no vig
- Size
- $48.5k
- Placed
- Jun 23, 03:44 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 25, 19:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- suntori
- Tx
- 0x3328be59…
This wallet's graded record
10/26-18.2 pts
expected 14.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -52 ptsYes price · entry 52¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 94.6¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $21.5k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | MED SELL Yes @ 24¢ | $56.9k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY Yes @ 74¢ | $27.0k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY No @ 67¢ | $67.8k 3.8× usual |
excluded |