Avrtsz

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$210.0k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$108.2k

Last 30 days −$13.8k · $3.31M volume · 206 trades · since Mar 11, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$114.0k

Open P&L · 7 positions

−$16.3k

Closed-position win rate

42%

116 closed

Wallet age · markets

592d

127 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW SELL Yes @ 18¢	$18.6k	82%	115d ago	called
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	LOW SELL No @ 25¢	$10.7k	75%	119d ago	excluded
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	LOW BUY No @ 40¢	$17.2k	40%	119d ago	missed
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	LOW BUY No @ 56¢	$11.6k	56%	120d ago	excluded
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢	$11.3k	52%	127d ago	excluded
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY Yes @ 8.1¢	$15.0k	8%	130d ago	missed
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW SELL Yes @ 6.6¢	$10.8k	93%	131d ago	called
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$10.5k	0%	133d ago	excluded
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY Yes @ 8.5¢	$13.9k	8%	136d ago	missed
Spurs vs. Knicks	LOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢	$24.4k	0%	137d ago	excluded
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	MED SELL Yes @ 77¢	$32.1k 2.1× usual	23%	138d ago	missed
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	LOW BUY Yes @ 36¢	$15.8k	36%	143d ago	called
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99¢	$18.3k	1%	146d ago	excluded

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?called

SELL Yes @ 18¢$18.6k

LOW Avrtsz · 115d ago

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?excluded

SELL No @ 25¢$10.7k

LOW Avrtsz · 119d ago

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?missed

BUY No @ 40¢$17.2k

LOW Avrtsz · 119d ago

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?excluded

BUY No @ 56¢$11.6k

LOW Avrtsz · 120d ago

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?excluded

BUY Yes @ 52¢$11.3k

LOW Avrtsz · 127d ago

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?missed

BUY Yes @ 8.1¢$15.0k

LOW Avrtsz · 130d ago

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?called

SELL Yes @ 6.6¢$10.8k

LOW Avrtsz · 131d ago

Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$10.5k

LOW Avrtsz · 133d ago

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?missed

BUY Yes @ 8.5¢$13.9k

LOW Avrtsz · 136d ago

Spurs vs. Knicksexcluded

SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢$24.4k

LOW Avrtsz · 137d ago

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?missed

SELL Yes @ 77¢$32.1k

MED Avrtsz · 138d ago

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?called

BUY Yes @ 36¢$15.8k

LOW Avrtsz · 143d ago

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99¢$18.3k

LOW Avrtsz · 146d ago

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