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Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $130.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 60% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+0.0 pts over 20 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?excluded$130.0k
BUY No @ 60¢ · 217,245 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $100k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Proven wallet5.2× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet neutralwave23 took No (buy) for $130.0k at an average 60¢. At that price the market implied a 60% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $130.0k+2
2 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 60¢ means
60%chance the market gave
−149American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 60¢
- Implied odds
- 59.9%
- As American odds
- −149 no vig
- Size
- $130.0k
- Placed
- Jun 25, 18:50 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 25, 19:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- neutralwave23
- Tx
- 0x46a3a058…
This wallet's graded record
13/20+0.0 pts
expected 13.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +40 ptsNo price · entry 60¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 94.6¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $21.5k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | MED SELL Yes @ 24¢ | $56.9k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY Yes @ 74¢ | $27.0k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY No @ 67¢ | $67.8k 3.8× usual |
excluded |