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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$724.4k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$204.6k
Last 30 days +$0 · $4.86M volume · 1,267 trades · since Jun 25, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$584.1k
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$376.4k
Closed-position win rate
40%
5 closed
Wallet age · markets
121d
6 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | LOW BUY Yes @ 50¢ | $38.0k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | MED BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $500.0k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | MED BUY Yes @ 44¢ | $186.4k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x05a381…