← Wallets
+$1Yes · avg 91¢ → 91.5¢ · $101
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did -53.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-53.5 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.5
Flagged volume
$63.1k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$22.9k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.49M volume · 307 trades · since Jan 16, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$55
Open P&L · 3 positions
−$22.5k
Closed-position win rate
96%
53 closed
Wallet age · markets
281d
56 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | -53.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $22.5k | missed |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 5.3¢ | $15.6k | called |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY Yes @ 5.7¢ | $25.0k | missed |
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x8d63253c4591aeb20b1ced882c583bb859f7ba27"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x8d63253c4591aeb20b1ced882c583bb859f7ba27.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x8d6325…