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us391

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did +0.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+0.5 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$999.1k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±35.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$74.1k
Last 30 days −$140.6k · $39.88M volume · 28,653 trades · since Apr 29, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$7.38M
Open P&L · 500 positions
−$3.57M
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
178d
4110 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports211.0+0.5 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will England win on 2026-07-11?LOW BUY No @ 46¢ $13.6k46% 104d agoexcluded
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5LOW BUY Over @ 40¢ $10.3k40% 106d agoexcluded
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5MED BUY Under @ 50¢ $46.1k50% 106d agoexcluded
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5MED BUY Over @ 46¢ $26.8k46% 106d agomissed
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?LOW BUY No @ 61¢ $14.9k61% 108d agoexcluded
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?MED BUY No @ 53¢ $70.4k53% 114d agoexcluded
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?MED BUY No @ 45¢ $36.1k45% 116d agoexcluded
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5LOW BUY Under @ 49¢ $14.2k49% 118d agoexcluded
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?MED BUY No @ 51¢ $61.8k51% 118d agocalled
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?MED BUY No @ 48¢ $54.5k48% 118d agomissed
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?MED BUY No @ 55¢ $50.8k55% 120d agoexcluded
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?MED BUY No @ 52¢ $31.5k52% 122d agoexcluded
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?LOW BUY No @ 63¢ $12.6k63% 123d agoexcluded
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?MED BUY No @ 65¢ $68.1k65% 123d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5MED BUY Under @ 45¢ $36.1k45% 123d agoexcluded
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?LOW BUY No @ 72¢ $13.3k72% 124d agoexcluded
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?MED BUY Yes @ 47¢ $150.4k
4.2× usual
47% 126d agoexcluded
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?MED BUY No @ 53¢ $33.5k53% 127d agoexcluded
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?LOW BUY Yes @ 93¢ $20.0k93% 128d agoexcluded
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?LOW BUY No @ 79¢ $14.7k79% 128d agoexcluded
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5MED BUY Under @ 44¢ $47.3k44% 129d agoexcluded
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $19.8k0% 130d agoexcluded
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?MED BUY Yes @ 90¢ $51.0k90% 130d agoexcluded
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?MED BUY Yes @ 51¢ $65.7k51% 131d agoexcluded
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?MED BUY Yes @ 79¢ $35.8k79% 131d agoexcluded

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