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What this means. A wallet put $10.7k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. It won. This wallet has only 17 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.7k
SELL Yes @ 5.5¢ · 196,316 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet ygggg1 took Yes (sell) for $10.7k at an average 5.5¢. At that price the market implied a 95% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 5.5¢
- Implied odds
- 94.5%
- As American odds
- −1729 no vig
- Size
- $10.7k
- Placed
- Jun 25, 21:03 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 05, 21:16 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- ygggg1
- Tx
- 0x00419e95…
This wallet's graded record
10/17+1.2 pts
expected 9.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +5 ptsYes price · entry 5.5¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $16.0k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.9k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $107.6k 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $66.0k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 96.9¢ | $20.0k | called |