← Wallets
+$1,043Yes · avg 68¢ → 76¢ · $10.1k+$1,374No · avg 80¢ → 93.5¢ · $9,386+$1,077Yes · avg 76¢ → 93.5¢ · $5,668 · 1 proven with, 0 against−$3,111Yes · avg 48¢ → 18¢ · $1,805+$397No · avg 54¢ → 91¢ · $965+$34No · avg 58¢ → 61¢ · $635+$78No · avg 84¢ → 97.8¢ · $554+$91No · avg 70¢ → 97.7¢ · $319
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$238.2k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$202.3k
Last 30 days +$1,248 · $19.70M volume · 31,668 trades · since Jan 23, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$226.1k
Open P&L · 38 positions
−$170.1k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
639d
1519 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.9k | excluded |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $29.9k | excluded |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
 Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $27.3k | excluded |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | LOW BUY No @ 98.3¢ | $13.8k | excluded |
 Epstein suicide note released by May 8? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $31.8k | excluded |
 Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $17.7k | excluded |
 US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $29.9k | excluded |
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