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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 2.8 wins, so it did +5.8 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+5.8 pts
Called / graded
3/3
Expected from price
2.8
Flagged volume
$666.5k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±13.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$521.5k
Last 30 days +$0 · $14.34M volume · 14,545 trades · since May 24, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$726.5k
Open P&L · 40 positions
−$17.6k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
153d
825 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 3 | 2.8 | +5.8 pts |
History
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x1f7105…