← Wallets
−$1,248No · avg 43¢ → 38¢ · $9,304+$644Yes · avg 68¢ → 80¢ · $4,229−$328No · avg 46¢ → 38¢ · $1,706−$61No · avg 26¢ → 16¢ · $105
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 2.2 wins, so it did -7.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-7.0 pts
Called / graded
2/3
Expected from price
2.2
Flagged volume
$149.0k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±22.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$82.7k
Last 30 days −$33.9k · $9.41M volume · 29,509 trades · since Apr 13, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$504.6k
Open P&L · 124 positions
−$100.2k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
194d
1780 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 2 | 1.8 | +12.5 pts |
| Other | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | -46.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs | LOW BUY Team Yandex @ 37¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
 LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group | LOW BUY Gen.G @ 99.9¢ | $21.5k | excluded |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 91.7¢ | $26.8k | called |
 Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW BUY No @ 46¢ | $13.6k | missed |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 17¢ | $46.5k | called |
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