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Will France win on 2026-06-26?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $64.9k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 9% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will France win on 2026-06-26?excluded$64.9k
SELL Yes @ 91¢ · 71,305 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)2.6× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet Mind.The.Gap took Yes (sell) for $64.9k at an average 91¢. At that price the market implied a 9% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $64.9k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 91¢
- Implied odds
- 9.0%
- As American odds
- +1017 no vig
- Size
- $64.9k
- Placed
- Jun 26, 15:22 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 26, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Mind.The.Gap
- Tx
- 0xe8e15b23…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+18.5 pts
expected 0.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -9 ptsYes price · entry 91¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.4k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $31.4k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98.4¢ | $49.9k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.2¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 98.7¢ | $11.0k | excluded |