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What this means. A wallet put $162.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 54% chance. It won. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$162.0k
BUY Yes @ 54¢ · 300,000 shares
Size ≥ $100k4.8× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet SPCEXBUYER took Yes (buy) for $162.0k at an average 54¢. At that price the market implied a 54% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $162.0k+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 54¢ means
54%chance the market gave
−117American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 54¢
- Implied odds
- 54.0%
- As American odds
- −117 no vig
- Size
- $162.0k
- Placed
- Jun 27, 13:55 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 27, 17:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- SPCEXBUYER
- Tx
- 0xec999bce…
This wallet's graded record
2/6-12.0 pts
expected 2.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +46 ptsYes price · entry 54¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $82.5k 5.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $66.6k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.9k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98.1¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | LOW BUY Yes @ 96¢ | $19.8k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | LOW BUY Yes @ 91.9¢ | $20.9k | excluded |