VeryLucky888

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did -39.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?−$218No · avg 78¢ → 76¢ · $7,795 Chiefs vs. Seahawks+$432Seahawks · avg 55¢ → 58¢ · $7,094 Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-24?+$682No · avg 88¢ → 98.5¢ · $6,402 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?+$1,148Yes · avg 71¢ → 90¢ · $5,556 · 1 proven with, 0 against Oklahoma vs. Mississippi State+$50Oklahoma · avg 53¢ → 54¢ · $5,350 Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-10-24?+$388No · avg 58¢ → 64¢ · $4,762 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5+$1,225Under · avg 55¢ → 75¢ · $4,590 Heat vs. Hornets+$0Heat · avg 56¢ → 56¢ · $4,520 · 0 proven with, 1 against

Price-adjusted edge

-39.5 pts

Called / graded

0/2

Expected from price

0.8

Flagged volume

$73.8k

Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±34.2 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$441.2k

Last 30 days +$26.4k · $521.69M volume · 2,422,097 trades · since Nov 06, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L · recent 500 closed

+$2.93M

Open P&L · 500 positions

+$8,756

Closed-position win rate

100%

500 closed

Wallet age · markets

353d

123869 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	2	0	0.8	-39.5 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	LOW BUY No @ 47¢	$15.8k	47%	119d ago	missed
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans	MED BUY Michigan State Spartans @ 65¢	$45.1k 2.9× usual	65%	217d ago	excluded
Seahawks vs. Patriots	LOW BUY Patriots @ 32¢	$12.8k	32%	264d ago	missed

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?missed

BUY No @ 47¢$15.8k

LOW VeryLucky888 · 119d ago

Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansexcluded

BUY Michigan State Spartans @ 65¢$45.1k

MED VeryLucky888 · 217d ago

Seahawks vs. Patriotsmissed

BUY Patriots @ 32¢$12.8k

LOW VeryLucky888 · 264d ago

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