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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did +0.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+0.0 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$382.3k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±35.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$577.4k
Last 30 days +$0 · $3.27M volume · 1,640 trades · since Jun 10, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$1.11M
Open P&L · 7 positions
−$529.2k
Closed-position win rate
100%
12 closed
Wallet age · markets
136d
19 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | +0.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | MED BUY No @ 47¢ | $188.0k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | MED BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $110.0k | called |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | MED BUY No @ 45¢ | $84.3k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x58483a…