← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $19.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 49% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+10.0 pts over 71 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$19.2k
BUY No @ 49¢ · 39,269 shares
Size ≥ $10kProven walletSports
What happened
Wallet omnibus-076daa took No (buy) for $19.2k at an average 49¢. At that price the market implied a 49% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $19.2k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 49¢ means
49%chance the market gave
+104American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 49¢
- Implied odds
- 49.0%
- As American odds
- +104 no vig
- Size
- $19.2k
- Placed
- Jun 27, 13:08 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 27, 17:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- omnibus-076daa
- Tx
- 0xe17bab8d…
This wallet's graded record
41/71+10.0 pts
expected 33.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -49 ptsNo price · entry 49¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $82.5k 5.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $66.6k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.9k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98.1¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | LOW BUY Yes @ 96¢ | $19.8k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | LOW BUY Yes @ 91.9¢ | $20.9k | excluded |