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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.6 wins, so it did +45.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+45.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.6
Flagged volume
$218.1k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$524.6k
Last 30 days −$58.9k · $8.04M volume · 3,735 trades · since Jun 25, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$37.2k
Open P&L · 22 positions
−$1.19M
Closed-position win rate
0%
3 closed
Wallet age · markets
121d
73 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | +45.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ugo Humbert | MED BUY Ugo Humbert @ 71¢ | $89.7k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ugo Humbert | MED BUY Ugo Humbert @ 74¢ | $40.0k | excluded |
 Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | MED BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $51.5k | excluded |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ugo Humbert | LOW SELL Ugo Humbert @ 68¢ | $11.4k | called |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | LOW BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $25.5k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xc5a233…