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What this means. A wallet put $15.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 47% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.8k
BUY No @ 47¢ · 33,691 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet VeryLucky888 took No (buy) for $15.8k at an average 47¢. At that price the market implied a 47% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 47¢ means
47%chance the market gave
+113American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 47¢
- Implied odds
- 47.0%
- As American odds
- +113 no vig
- Size
- $15.8k
- Placed
- Jun 27, 01:28 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 27, 17:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- VeryLucky888
- Tx
- 0xc99ec298…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-39.5 pts
expected 0.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -47 ptsNo price · entry 47¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $82.5k 5.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $66.6k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.9k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98.1¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | LOW BUY Yes @ 96¢ | $19.8k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | LOW BUY Yes @ 91.9¢ | $20.9k | excluded |