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What this means. A wallet put $27.3k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 26% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?excluded
$27.3k
BUY Yes @ 26¢ · 105,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0x32b4…8b21 took Yes (buy) for $27.3k at an average 26¢. At that price the market implied a 26% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $27.3k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 26¢ means
26%chance the market gave
+285American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
26¢
Implied odds
26.0%
As American odds
+285 no vig
Size
$27.3k
Placed
Jun 24, 20:16 EDT
Market close
Jun 24, 21:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0x32b4…8b21
Tx
0xf5704fe1…
This wallet's graded record
2/4-16.1 pts
expected 2.6 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -26 pts
Yes price · entry 26¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 26¢ · $27.3k WHALE $27.3K @ 26¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?LOW BUY No @ 72¢ $27.3k72% 0x2c33…0563122d agoexcluded
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?MED BUY No @ 67¢ $60.9k
2.3× usual
67% swisstony PROVEN122d agoexcluded
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?MED BUY Yes @ 46¢ $25.4k46% 0x3dfb…abaf122d agoexcluded
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?LOW BUY Yes @ 34¢ $20.4k34% Alirezawx122d agoexcluded
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?HIGH BUY Yes @ 26¢ $39.0k
2.2× usual
26% purplegatto PROVEN122d agoexcluded
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?LOW BUY No @ 74¢ $23.3k74% swisstony PROVEN122d agoexcluded