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What this means. A wallet put $39.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 26% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a proven record: +19.3 pts vs the price over 30 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$39.0k
BUY Yes @ 26¢ · 150,000 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side3 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Proven wallet2.2× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet purplegatto took Yes (buy) for $39.0k at an average 26¢. At that price the market implied a 26% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $39.0k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
3 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 26¢ means
26%chance the market gave
+285American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 26¢
- Implied odds
- 26.0%
- As American odds
- +285 no vig
- Size
- $39.0k
- Placed
- Jun 24, 20:33 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 24, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- purplegatto
- Tx
- 0x38e56516…
This wallet's graded record
27/30+19.3 pts
expected 21.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -26 ptsYes price · entry 26¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY No @ 72¢ | $27.3k | excluded | |
| MED BUY No @ 67¢ | $60.9k 2.3× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Yes @ 46¢ | $25.4k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 34¢ | $20.4k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 74¢ | $23.3k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Yes @ 26¢ | $69.7k | excluded |