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Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $25.7k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 61% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?excluded$25.7k
SELL Yes @ 39¢ · 65,274 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x09d2…26ae took Yes (sell) for $25.7k at an average 39¢. At that price the market implied a 61% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $25.7k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 39¢
- Implied odds
- 60.6%
- As American odds
- −154 no vig
- Size
- $25.7k
- Placed
- Jun 25, 17:21 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 25, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x09d2…26ae
- Tx
- 0x152dac7b…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+96.3 pts
expected 0.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +39 ptsYes price · entry 39¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $65.1k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $39.3k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $90.9k 3.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $252.4k 5.2× usual |
excluded |