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Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$292.6k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$31.4k
Last 30 days −$10.9k · $2.75M volume · 1,799 trades · since Jun 16, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 466 closed
−$15.0k
Open P&L · 55 positions
−$16.2k
Closed-position win rate
63%
466 closed
Wallet age · markets
130d
421 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?MED SELL Yes @ 48¢ $39.0k52% 120d agoexcluded
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?MED BUY Yes @ 51¢ $40.7k
2.0× usual
51% 120d agoexcluded
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?LOW SELL Yes @ 92.2¢ $12.3k8% 120d agoexcluded
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?LOW BUY Yes @ 83¢ $14.8k83% 120d agocalled
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?LOW SELL Yes @ 62¢ $15.0k38% 120d agocalled
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?LOW BUY Yes @ 64¢ $15.2k64% 121d agomissed
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 15¢ $26.1k85% 121d agocalled
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY Yes @ 16¢ $24.9k16% 121d agomissed
Will England win on 2026-06-23?LOW BUY Yes @ 84¢ $14.0k84% 122d agoexcluded
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?MED SELL Yes @ 93.8¢ $41.0k
2.0× usual
6% 123d agoexcluded
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?MED BUY Yes @ 90.3¢ $34.9k90% 123d agoexcluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $14.6k0% 123d agoexcluded
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?excluded
SELL Yes @ 48¢$39.0k
MED 12.. · 120d ago
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?excluded
BUY Yes @ 51¢$40.7k
MED 12.. · 120d ago
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?excluded
SELL Yes @ 92.2¢$12.3k
LOW 12.. · 120d ago
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?called
BUY Yes @ 83¢$14.8k
LOW 12.. · 120d ago
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?called
SELL Yes @ 62¢$15.0k
LOW 12.. · 120d ago
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?missed
BUY Yes @ 64¢$15.2k
LOW 12.. · 121d ago
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?called
SELL Yes @ 15¢$26.1k
LOW 12.. · 121d ago
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?missed
BUY Yes @ 16¢$24.9k
LOW 12.. · 121d ago
Will England win on 2026-06-23?excluded
BUY Yes @ 84¢$14.0k
LOW 12.. · 122d ago
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?excluded
SELL Yes @ 93.8¢$41.0k
MED 12.. · 123d ago
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?excluded
BUY Yes @ 90.3¢$34.9k
MED 12.. · 123d ago
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$14.6k
LOW 12.. · 123d ago

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