← Wallets
−$736No · avg 6.9¢ → 5.5¢ · $2,897 · 0 proven with, 1 against+$597Yes · avg 11¢ → 17¢ · $1,735 · 0 proven with, 1 against−$154Yes · avg 13¢ → 8.2¢ · $266
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.7 wins, so it did -58.2 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-58.2 pts
Called / graded
0/3
Expected from price
1.7
Flagged volume
$88.7k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±28.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$155.5k
Last 30 days +$28.7k · $7.03M volume · 11,433 trades · since Nov 05, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$752.5k
Open P&L · 479 positions
−$519.8k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
718d
1424 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 0 | 1.7 | -58.2 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Eagles vs. Bears | LOW BUY Eagles @ 65¢ | $26.4k | missed |
 Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-13? | LOW BUY Yes @ 91¢ | $13.7k | excluded |
 Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Mexico @ 48¢ | $24.0k | missed |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | LOW BUY Yes @ 62¢ | $24.6k | missed |
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