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What this means. A wallet put $12.4k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.4k
BUY Yes @ 98.8¢ · 12,512 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet takeormake took Yes (buy) for $12.4k at an average 98.8¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.4k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−8147American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.8¢
- Implied odds
- 98.8%
- As American odds
- −8147 no vig
- Size
- $12.4k
- Placed
- Jun 22, 14:58 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 22, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- takeormake
- Tx
- 0xf2b64c5d…
This wallet's graded record
3/4+22.8 pts
expected 2.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.6k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.6k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $42.2k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.2k | excluded |