Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | $3.79M 54 flags |
$284.0k 4 wallets |
$1.17M 3 wallets |
| No | $1.22M 17 flags |
$82.5k 2 wallets |
none |
| Not Yes | $481.8k 21 flags |
none | $57.9k 1 wallet |
| Not No | $73.5k 3 flags |
none | none |
A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.6k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.6k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $42.2k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.2k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $42.5k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $23.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $17.4k | excluded |
| MED SELL Yes @ 84¢ | $57.9k 3.0× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 98.8¢ | $12.4k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 84¢ | $120.8k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 86¢ | $128.6k 4.8× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 86¢ | $22.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 85¢ | $12.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 81¢ | $17.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 81¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 82¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| MED SELL Yes @ 81¢ | $67.4k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 82¢ | $111.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 83¢ | $23.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 85¢ | $17.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 85¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 41¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 40¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 37¢ | $34.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 40¢ | $66.0k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 62¢ | $18.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 82¢ | $13.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $22.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 32¢ | $12.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 32¢ | $13.6k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 69¢ | $138.5k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 32¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 33¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 66¢ | $16.5k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $31.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $80.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $233.1k 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| HIGH BUY No @ 33¢ | $561.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $19.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $26.0k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 33¢ | $66.0k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $140.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 33¢ | $26.6k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 33¢ | $96.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 33¢ | $14.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $24.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $49.3k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $10.0k | called |
| HIGH BUY No @ 32¢ | $198.8k 5.3× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 69¢ | $11.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 69¢ | $96.5k 3.5× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 69¢ | $69.0k 4.7× usual |
called |
| MED BUY No @ 32¢ | $19.9k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $75.4k 2.7× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $40.0k | called |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $500.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $59.5k | called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $300.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $13.6k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $48.7k 2.5× usual |
called |
| LOW SELL No @ 32¢ | $32.0k 2.1× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $23.2k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $12.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $56.6k | called |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $485.8k 7.9× usual |
called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $174.2k 2.8× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $98.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $26.2k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 34¢ | $10.3k | missed |
| MED BUY No @ 34¢ | $54.6k 2.9× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $20.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $13.4k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $24.3k | called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $157.3k 2.5× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $22.0k | called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $33.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $13.1k | called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 65¢ | $47.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 65¢ | $15.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 64¢ | $21.6k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 64¢ | $10.0k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 37¢ | $28.3k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 64¢ | $23.0k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 38¢ | $12.3k | missed |
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 95 whale trades on this market totalling $5.57M from 70 wallets. The largest was $561.4k (buy No at 33¢). Most whale money ($3.79M) went to Yes. 57 of 95 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, surfandturf ($718.8k), has called 10 of 28 graded flags overall (-19.3 pts vs price).
Market data from Polymarket (fifwc-arg-aut-2026-06-22-arg).