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What this means. A wallet put $138.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 69% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$138.5k
BUY Yes @ 69¢ · 202,141 shares
Size ≥ $100kLate (<1h before start)2.7× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet cnyek took Yes (buy) for $138.5k at an average 69¢. At that price the market implied a 69% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $138.5k+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 69¢ means
69%chance the market gave
−218American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 69¢
- Implied odds
- 68.5%
- As American odds
- −218 no vig
- Size
- $138.5k
- Placed
- Jun 22, 13:05 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 22, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- cnyek
- Tx
- 0x7f60435f…
This wallet's graded record
9/12+22.6 pts
expected 6.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +31 ptsYes price · entry 69¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.6k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.6k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $42.2k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.2k | excluded |