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supersob

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$7.37M
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$6.85M
Last 30 days +$0 · $34.95M volume · 5,230 trades · since Jun 19, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$4.68M
Open P&L · 9 positions
−$11.40M
Closed-position win rate
100%
3 closed
Wallet age · markets
127d
12 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?HIGH BUY No @ 61¢ $2.40M
2.5× usual
61% 123d agoexcluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?HIGH BUY No @ 33¢ $561.4k33% 124d agoexcluded
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?HIGH BUY Yes @ 62¢ $2.20M
2.3× usual
62% 124d agoexcluded
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?HIGH BUY Yes @ 57¢ $1.11M57% 126d agoexcluded
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?HIGH BUY Yes @ 57¢ $807.9k57% 126d agoexcluded
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?HIGH BUY No @ 41¢ $292.0k41% 126d agoexcluded

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x9d36d1…