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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.2 wins, so it did -8.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-8.5 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.2
Flagged volume
$95.6k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±34.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$61.0k
Last 30 days +$0 · $2.12M volume · 2,271 trades · since Nov 09, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$395.7k
Open P&L · 26 positions
−$333.1k
Closed-position win rate
100%
14 closed
Wallet age · markets
349d
40 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 1.2 | -8.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 48¢ | $14.6k | missed |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW BUY Yes @ 69¢ | $69.0k 4.7× usual |
called |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x6d77eb…