← Wallets
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 2.1 wins, so it did -3.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-3.0 pts
Called / graded
2/4
Expected from price
2.1
Flagged volume
$462.3k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±22.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$1,935
Last 30 days −$4,442 · $4.09M volume · 160 trades · since Jun 13, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$153.1k
Open P&L · 29 positions
−$147.3k
Closed-position win rate
78%
64 closed
Wallet age · markets
133d
94 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 4 | 2 | 2.1 | -3.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Belgium @ 48¢ | $10.7k | called |
| Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 79¢ | $55.0k | missed |
| Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5 | LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢ | $30.8k | excluded |
| Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 97.3¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5 | LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢ | $44.7k | excluded |
| Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 67¢ | $30.0k | called |
| Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | LOW BUY Yes @ 19¢ | $14.3k | missed |
| Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 83¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $80.4k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 77¢ | $62.0k 2.1× usual |
called |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | LOW BUY Yes @ 84¢ | $33.0k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $22.0k | called |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 70¢ | $19.4k | excluded |
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x688051ca7cd43270d8f26b48ecdc9beb2d23cf03"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x688051ca7cd43270d8f26b48ecdc9beb2d23cf03.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x688051…