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What this means. A wallet put $174.2k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 67% chance. It won. This wallet has a losing record: -29.7 pts vs the price over 24 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$174.2k
BUY Yes @ 67¢ · 260,000 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $100k2 fills in 1h2.8× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet sleepy-panda took Yes (buy) for $174.2k at an average 67¢. At that price the market implied a 67% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $174.2k+2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 67¢ means
67%chance the market gave
−203American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 67¢
- Implied odds
- 67.0%
- As American odds
- −203 no vig
- Size
- $174.2k
- Placed
- Jun 22, 04:45 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 22, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- sleepy-panda
- Tx
- 0x274c7986…
This wallet's graded record
3/24-29.7 pts
expected 10.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +33 ptsYes price · entry 67¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.6k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.6k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $42.2k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.2k | excluded |